Markets as the Source of Truth

SUNDAY, MARCH 1, 2026 · 02:54 PM
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Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?LIVE

Traders give alien disclosure slim odds despite massive betting volume
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Volume:$11.95M
Tracked:95 Days
Current:Yes (20.0%)
Key Events
LIVETracking market events
FEB 20 202610:00 AM GMT+8

Congressional UAP Hearing Sparks Interest - Yes Rises from 12% to 21.5%

Traders speculated that a scheduled Congressional hearing on Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) drove the nearly 10-point surge in odds for US alien confirmation. The hearing, reportedly featuring new whistleblower testimony and classified briefings for lawmakers, reignited hopes of imminent government disclosure. Market participants appeared to react to rumors of unprecedented evidence being presented behind closed doors, though no official confirmation of extraterrestrial life was announced. The movement reflects growing anticipation around potential declassification efforts.

Yes:12%22%(+10%)
FEB 18, 20268:00 AM ET

10% chance of aliens?

Polymarket traders see a 10% chance that the United States will announce the existence of aliens before the end of this year.

YES:9%10%(+1%)