Markets as the Source of Truth

SUNDAY, MARCH 1, 2026 · 02:55 PM
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Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?SETTLED

Traders show near-total certainty that Powell's replacement will be named within months.
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Volume:$1.28M
Tracked:53 Days
Current:June 30, 2026 (98.4%)
Key Events
JAN 30 20261:00 AM ET

Trump says he will announce next Fed Chair "on Friday morning"

Many news outlets are reporting that Trump said that he will announce the next Fed Chair on Friday the 30th of January.

January 30, 2026:0%92%(+92%)
JAN 28 20263:00 PM ET

Scheduling signals emerge - February 28 surges to 88%

Traders speculated White House scheduling leaks or insider signals pointed to late February for Trump's Fed Chair announcement.

February 28, 2026:0%88%(+88%)
JAN 17 20261:00 AM ET

Feb 6 Announcement Date Emerges - Jumps from 0% to 82.5%

Traders speculated that reports or insider signals pointed to February 6, 2026 as the likely date for Trump's Fed Chair nominee announcement.

February 6, 2026:0%83%(+83%)