Leading foreign policy experts have published research suggesting that shifting global dynamics, including China's growing influence, could compel Russia and Ukraine to reach a negotiated settlement by the end of 2025, causing traders to adjust their bets accordingly.
Reportedly, a high-ranking Kremlin official has anonymously disclosed ongoing back-channel negotiations between Russia and Ukraine about a potential ceasefire in 2025, causing traders to bet on increased odds of an agreement.
Rumors of secret peace talks buoy optimism
Renewed diplomatic efforts spur optimism
Escalating tensions dampen prospects for resolution
Signals of progress in peace negotiations