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Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?SETTLED

Gemini 3.0 December 22nd release odds surge to 96% as deadline approaches
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Gemini 3.0 Flash Released by December 22nd Odds Surge to 96.2% Ahead of Year-End

The Polymarket prediction market has seen a flurry of activity around the anticipated release of the Gemini 3.0 Flash update, with the current top prediction indicating a 96.2% chance of the software being released by December 31st.

This market, which allows traders to speculate on the timing of the Gemini 3.0 Flash release, has captured the attention of tech enthusiasts and AI fans alike.

The Road to the Gemini 3.0 Flash Release

The prediction market first opened in September, with the initial consensus pointing to a 75% chance of the Gemini 3.0 Flash being released by the end of 2025. As the year progressed, the odds have steadily climbed, reflecting growing confidence in the project's development timeline.

In October, the market saw a significant shift, with the "No Change" odds - the probability of the release not happening by the end of the year - dropping by 12 percentage points. This suggested that traders were becoming increasingly convinced that the Gemini 3.0 Flash would indeed see the light of day before the year was out.

The Current Prediction and Its Implications

The current top prediction of a 96.2% chance of the Gemini 3.0 Flash being released by December 31st is a clear indication of the market's sentiment. Traders are placing their bets on the likelihood of this highly anticipated update being delivered on time, signaling their confidence in Gemini's ability to meet its development milestones.

This surge in confidence could have significant implications for the broader AI and tech sectors. The Gemini 3.0 Flash is expected to introduce several key enhancements, including improved scalability, enhanced security features, and streamlined user experiences. If the release is successful, it could solidify Gemini's position as a leading innovator in the space and inspire further investment and adoption of its services.

What to Watch for Next

As the year-end approaches, all eyes will be on Gemini's progress and the prediction market's continued evolution. Should the Gemini 3.0 Flash be released as expected, it will be interesting to see how the market reacts and whether the high odds of success were indeed warranted.

Conversely, if the release is delayed or encounters any unexpected challenges, the market could quickly adjust, potentially signaling a shift in sentiment and a reassessment of Gemini's execution capabilities. Traders and industry observers will be closely monitoring the situation, looking for clues about the broader health and trajectory of the blockchain and fintech sectors.

Overall, the Polymarket prediction market's focus on the Gemini 3.0 Flash release highlights the growing importance of these platforms in tracking and shaping market sentiment around emerging technologies and industry developments. As the countdown to the end of the year continues, this market will undoubtedly remain a key barometer for the Gemini project and the broader ecosystem it operates in.

Key Events
DEC 17 202510 AM ET

DEC 17 2025 is confirmed, market settled

Polymarket sharps had it right, Gemini Flash 3.0 was released on December 17th, 2025.

DEC 17 2025:85%100%(+15%)
DEC 16 202510 AM ET

December 17th suddenly seen likely

Previously written off as no chance, suddenly December 17th is seen as a strong possible launch date.

December 17th:0%87%(+87%)
DEC 9 202510 AM ET

December 18th now seen as likely launch date

December 18th release likelihood suddenly jumps from zero to 88%. A launch before December 18th is seen as only a 5% chance.

DEC 18th:0%88%(+88%)
DEC 5 20252:00 PM ET

Insider Leak Reveals Gemini 3.0 Launch Timeline

An anonymous source within Gemini's engineering team reportedly disclosed that final testing for the Gemini 3.0 Flash is on track for a December 22nd ...

December 22:0%93%(+93%)
Volume:$5.72M
Tracked:30 Days
Current:December 31 (96.2%)

Price History

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?
Showing 123 data points from Dec 12, 2025 to Dec 17, 2025 (Last 30 days)